Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.019361 0.021433 0.023508 0.025739 0.028062 0.030407 0.032946
2025-03-23 0.015400 0.018644 0.022019 0.025765 0.029781 0.033936 0.038539
2025-03-30 0.012773 0.016630 0.020761 0.025456 0.030589 0.035987 0.042050
2025-04-06 0.010634 0.014881 0.019558 0.024987 0.031025 0.037460 0.044769
2025-04-13 0.008474 0.012887 0.017904 0.023857 0.030591 0.037862 0.046208
2025-04-20 0.007556 0.012252 0.017715 0.024298 0.031831 0.040035 0.049516
2025-04-27 0.006378 0.011190 0.016944 0.024004 0.032183 0.041172 0.051634
2025-05-04 0.005248 0.010082 0.016042 0.023490 0.032230 0.041922 0.053280
2025-05-11 0.004589 0.009525 0.015764 0.023674 0.033045 0.043506 0.055827
2025-05-18 0.003857 0.008797 0.015226 0.023508 0.033423 0.044570 0.057766
2025-05-25 0.003082 0.007923 0.014449 0.023012 0.033381 0.045127 0.059110
2025-06-01 0.002616 0.007452 0.014162 0.023092 0.033997 0.046420 0.061268
2025-06-08 0.001955 0.006637 0.013441 0.022691 0.034128 0.047260 0.063045
2025-06-15 0.001505 0.006106 0.013088 0.022758 0.034839 0.048802 0.065663
2025-06-22 0.001041 0.005433 0.012483 0.022462 0.035078 0.049766 0.067592
2025-06-29 0.000639 0.004744 0.011796 0.022020 0.035110 0.050465 0.069196
2025-07-06 0.000251 0.003826 0.010679 0.020955 0.034333 0.050179 0.069635
2025-07-13 0.000153 0.003637 0.010673 0.021371 0.035390 0.052060 0.072578
2025-07-20 0.000036 0.003172 0.010178 0.021093 0.035559 0.052867 0.074259
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002664 0.009556 0.020609 0.035444 0.053319 0.075510
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002444 0.009411 0.020782 0.036159 0.054760 0.077913
2025-08-10 NaN 0.002124 0.009049 0.020627 0.036438 0.055666 0.079677
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001730 0.008490 0.020160 0.036297 0.056048 0.080814